[At-Large] DRAFT ALAC comment on IPv4 depletion and IPv6 migration

[Izumi AIZU]

2007/10/30, Jacqueline A. Morris <jam at jacquelinemorris.com>:public

> Also - should  we put a timeline suggestion in there? If the consensus is
> that the pool runs out by 2010, then we should put some deadlines for the
> tasks that end no later than 2009 (outreach,  technical assistance etc) so
> that the transition-readiness is there by 2009, before the  projected
> depletion date.

Jacqueline, I am a little bit hesitant to put a timeline in a specific manner.

There is no strong evidence that it will run out exactly by 2010 (or
earlier or later),
 though there is a good prediction. Recently, Japanese government organized
a Study Group and tasked them to come up with their own estimate, taking
account various projections in the Interent community - and their conclusion
(tentative) is sometime between 2010 and 2012 for IANA pool to expire, and
between 2011 and 2013, the RIR (APNIC, for example and for Japan) pool
may expire. That is pusblished on the public website, but all are in Japanese.

So if you put "2009" in a definitive term, we may receive some critical
comments/questions which may distract the attention from other
important points.
We may say that " we should prepare a timeline under which we can operate the
transition program, such as outreach, technical assistance, and other
preparation
works)"  or something like that. Is that OK to you?

thanks,

izumi